Volcker’s A Guy Who Knows A Thing Or Two

Posted by Steven Russolillo on October 21, 2009
Banks, Economy, Markets, Washington

It doesn’t take much for bloggers to start bashing something or someone. But pay close attention when they start dishing out praise, because they’re generally on to something good.

Focus has turned to former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker’s recent comments regarding big banks. He believes too-big-to-fail institutions should be broken up and wants the biggest banks to be prohibited from owning and trading risky securities. From NYT:

Mr. Volcker’s proposal would roll back the nation’s commercial banks to an earlier era, when they were restricted to commercial banking and prohibited from engaging in risky Wall Street activities.

The Obama team, in contrast, would let the giants survive, but would regulate them extensively, so they could not get themselves and the nation into trouble again. While the administration’s proposal languishes, giants like Goldman Sachs have re-engaged in old trading practices, once again earning big profits and planning big bonuses.

His views, which are gaining praise among bloggers, certainly contrast opinions of other members on President Obama’s economic team, who favor letting big banks survive, but extensively regulating them.

More subtly, Mr. Obama has in Mr. Volcker an adviser perceived as standing apart from Wall Street, and critical of its ways, some administration officials say, while Timothy F. Geithner, the Treasury secretary, and Lawrence H. Summers, chief of the National Economic Council, are seen, rightly or wrongly, as more sympathetic to the concerns of investment bankers.

For all these reasons, Mr. Volcker’s approach to financial regulation cannot be just brushed off — and  [Austan] Goolsbee, speaking for the administration, is careful not to do so. “We have discussed these issues with Paul Volcker extensively,” he said.

The administration’s stance prompts Big Picture blogger Barry Ritholtz to wonder if Obama can actually reform Wall Street in a successful manner, considering he’s taking advice from the likes of Tim Geithner and Larry Summers.

“It’s hard to see how when key presidential advisers are Wall Street creatures,” he says.

Still, Ritholtz believes Obama needs to seriously start listening to Volcker. “The sooner team O starts listening to Tall Paul, the better off they – and the country – will be.”

Volcker isn’t the only prominent voice arguing too-big-to-fail institutions need to be broken up.  Bank of England Governonr Mervyn King lashed the “too-big-to-fail” concept in his speech yesterday.

“Just when our biggest banks thought they were out of the woods and into the money,” the heat’s turning up, former IMF chief economist Simon Johnson writes at The Baseline Scenario.

Big banks will push back, Johnson notes, “but King’s words mark the beginning of a new stage of real reform; the consensus starts to crack.”

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4 Comments to Volcker’s A Guy Who Knows A Thing Or Two

lucky
October 21, 2009

Stiglitz’ take on the reasons for the crisis, check out his #1: http://www.vanityfair.com/magazine/2009/01/stiglitz200901

1. Reagan fired Volcker, replaced with Greenspan
2. Deregulation
3. Bush Tax cuts
4. Ratings agency corruption
5. Bailout

[...] a long period of austerity to balance the books. The furore over bank regulation continues to rage. Paul Volcker’s recent comments win more support from bloggers who speculate that the break-up of banks could become a hot political [...]

Philip Rothman
October 23, 2009

I think the Volker and King “let’s repeal Glass-Steagall” argument has an ahistorical red herring touch to it, in light of, for example, the problems the major US commercial banks had in the 1980s vis-a-vis emerging-market (esp. Latin American) debt. Those banks were operating under Glass-Steagall, were supervised/regulated by, among others, the Volker-led Fed, and nonetheless ran into first-order difficulties.

[...] banking’, now advocated by many of the most senior and well respected economists, such as Paul Volker, and even my favourite, Liam Halligan, who says, “Having wrecked our public finances, the [...]